关键词: 遥感, 卓资县；土地利用/植被覆盖变化；马尔科夫矩阵

Abstract:

Based on the typical county of returning farmland to forest of Zhuozi county in Inner Mongolia as the research object, according to the two periods of the 1999 and 2007’s TM images and other auxiliary materials, this paper analysised the change of land use, regional difference and the conversion between various types ,and used markov model to predict the dynamic change trend of the land use in 2015. The results showed that: the Zhuozi county in Inner Mongolia in the period of 1999-2007, the forest land and grassland were greatly increased 2.28% and 2.85% respectively for the implementation of the returning farmland to forest project. Cultivated land and waters were greatly reduced, and reduced 5.88% and 1.49% respectively. From the result we can see the cultivated land, forest land and grassland were the dominant types of land use change in this area, and they had widely mutual transformation with other types of land use. By 2015, the grassland will be increased 2.76%. Forest land and cultivated area will be reduced by 2.34% and 6.04%. Forest land , cultivated land and grassland are always the dominant types of land use change ,which are the dominant position, therefore, reasonable using and protecting the forest land, grassland and cultivated land resource are the necessary way to construct the ecological environment in Zhuozi county.

Key words: remote sensing, Zhuozi county；LUCC；Markov matrix