四川农业大学学报 ›› 2013, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (04): 461-465.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-2650.2013.04.019

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美国食糖价格影响因素的多元回归分析

谢源1,2, 陈如凯3   

  1. 1. 福建农林大学金山学院, 福州 350002;
    2. 福建农林大学作物学院, 福州 350002;
    3. 福建农林大学国家甘蔗产业技术研发中心, 福州 350002
  • 收稿日期:2013-04-15 出版日期:2013-12-31 发布日期:2017-02-28
  • 作者简介:谢源,讲师,博士,国家甘蔗产业技术研发中心产业经济研究室成员,主要研究方向:农业多功能性产业,E-mail:fountain0702@126.com。
  • 基金资助:
    福建省教育厅项目(JB12110S)

The Multiple Regression Analysis on Factors Affecting American Sugar Price

XIE Yuan1,2, CHEN Ru-kai3   

  1. 1. Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University J inshan College;
    2. Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University Crop Science College;
    3. National Sugarcane Industry Technology Research and Development Center, Fujian 625014, China
  • Received:2013-04-15 Online:2013-12-31 Published:2017-02-28
  • Contact: 陈如凯,教授,国家甘蔗产业体系首席科学家,E-mail:fafu948@126.com。 E-mail:fafu948@126.com

摘要: [目的] 通过分析美国食糖价格的影响因素,对中国食糖产业的发展提供有益的建议。[方法] 影响美国国内食糖价格主要有国内产销状况、国内政策以及其他影响因素等3个方面,利用Matlab软件对3个影响方面的21个指标进行多元回归分析。[结果] 影响美国原糖价格的因素主要是路易斯安那州糖蔗价格、1月份食糖储量以及价格支持3个因素。[结论] 美国食糖价格除了受到市场因素影响,美国政府的调控影响亦不容小觑。

关键词: 美国食糖价格, 多元逐步回归, 糖蔗价格, 食糖储量, 价格支持

Abstract: [Objective] To provide useful advice for the development of China's sugar industry through analyzing the influencing factors of the American sugar price.[Method] There are three main factors that affect the American domestic sugar price:the domestic production and marketing situation,domestic policy and other influencing factors.21indexes of the three main factors are analyzed by multiple linear regression using the software Matlab.[Results] The results showed the main factors that influence the American sugar prices are price of sugar cane in Louisiana,the stocks of sugar in January and price support.[Conclusion] The American sugar prices are affected by market factors as well as the United States government regulation.

Key words: American sugar prices, multiple stepwise regression, price of sugar cane, the sugar stock, price support

中图分类号: 

  • F326