关键词: 政策激励, 宅基地退出, 退出方式, 多分类Logistic回归模型

Abstract: 【Objective】 To study the mechanism and path that different types of policies influence farmers' choice of homestead exit methods, and provide reference for us to understand different policy needs of farmers and improve the design of exit policies for homesteads. 【Method】 Multi-category logistic regression model. 【Result】 In terms of the impact of retreating into the city relative to the concentrated residence, the variables of economic compensation policy did not pass the significance test, and the indicators reflecting the social security policy and other supporting policies showed significant effects. In terms of the impact of idle exits relative to concentrated residence, variables of economic compensation policy and other supporting policies showed significant effects, while social security policy indicators did not pass significance tests. 【Conclusion】 ①The economic compensation policy played an important role in encouraging farmers to choose idle exits, even the economic compensation standards is low. ②When farmers choose the concentration residence of exit, they not only care about the issue of economic compensation, but also care about the comprehensive supporting situation of the centralized construction area. Therefore, the economic compensation and housing resettlement policies have strong incentive effects for farmers to choose concentrated living. ③Farmers who have retreated to the city are more concerned about how to maintain a stable life after entering the town. Therefore, compared with economic compensation, perfect social security policies and other supporting measures would play a stronger incentive for farmers who choose to retreat into the city.

Key words: policy incentives, homestead exit, exit method, multi-category logistic regression model