四川农业大学学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (03): 299-305.doi: 10.16036/j.issn.1000-2650.2015.03.011

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攀西地区烤烟气候适宜性评价指标建立及应用

刘琰琰1, 李海燕1, 陈超2, 张玉芳3, 庞艳梅4, 肖国杰1   

  1. 1. 成都信息工程大学大气科学学院高原大气与环境四川省重点实验室, 成都 610225;
    2. 四川省气候中心, 成都 610072;
    3. 四川省农业气象中心, 成都 610072;
    4. 中国气象局成都高原气象研究所, 成都 610072
  • 收稿日期:2015-07-07 出版日期:2015-09-30 发布日期:2017-02-28
  • 作者简介:刘琰琰,博士,讲师,研究方向为气候变化影响评估及农业防灾减灾,E-mail:liuyy@cuit.edu.cn。
  • 基金资助:
    四川省科技支撑计划项目(2015NZ0035);国家自然科学基金项目(41305076)

Establishment and Application of Climatic Suitability Indicator of Flue-cured Tobacco in Panxi Region

LIU Yan-yan1, LI Hai-yan1, CHEN Chao2, ZHANG Yu-fang3, PANG Yan-mei4, XIAO Guo-jie1   

  1. 1. College of Atmospheric Sciences & Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, China;
    2. Sichuan Provincial Climate Center, Chengdu 610072, China;
    3. Agrometeorological Center of Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610072, China;
    4. Institute of Plateau Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Chengdu 610072, China
  • Received:2015-07-07 Online:2015-09-30 Published:2017-02-28

摘要: [目的] 建立攀西地区烤烟大田生长期气候适宜性评价指标。[方法] 运用模糊数学方法建立单因子及多因子气候适宜度模型,对比两种方法确定权重建立气候适宜指数的优劣;建立产量丰歉指数和气候适宜指数的关系模型,确定气候适宜性评价指标。[结果] 标准化法优于绝对值法;产量丰歉指数与气候适宜指数呈显著相关;指标回代检验准确率较高。[结论] 指标可以用于评价气候条件对大田烤烟生长发育和产量形成的适宜程度。

关键词: 烤烟, 气候适宜性, 评价指标

Abstract: [Objective] The aim of the study was to establish the climatic suitability indicators of flue-cured tobacco. [Method] The suitability models of single and multiple meteorological factors were constructed, compared advantages and disadvantages of two methods to establish favorable climate index, and establish a model to determine the climate suitability evaluation index on the relationship between the yield and the climate suitability index. [Results] The climatic suitability index constructed by the normalization method was better than that by the absolute value method. The climatic suitability index was significantly correlated with yield, the climatic suitability indicators back to the test showed a high accuracy. [Conclusion] The climatic suitability indicators established in this study could be applied to evaluate the suitable level of climatic conditions on the growth and yield of flue-cured tobacco fields.

Key words: climatic suitability, flue-cured tobacco, indicator

中图分类号: 

  • S166