关键词: 气候变化, 适应度, 模糊综合评价, 层次分析法, 湿地

Abstract: [Objective] The aim of the study was to evaluate the adaption of wetland ecosystem to climate change. This can provide references for decision-making in wetland management and the sustainable construction of wetland. [Method] The water resource, ecological, social and economic systems were used as the subsystems to evaluate of the adaption of Panjin wetland to climate change. Based on the built indicator system of assessment, the determinative weight values of the factors were determined using the AHP analytical method. Fuzzy comprehension evaluation method was used to determine the adaption values. [Results] Adaption ability of Panjin wetland was in medium level. There was a significant differences between subsystems. Among these, the adaption of ecological system was greatly affected by negative factors which were similar to the whole. The adaption of water resource system was also greatly affected by negative factors and this subsystem was in a poorer state. However, social and economic systems were less affected by negative factors and gradually adapt to climate change. [Conclusion] To improve the adaption of Panjin wetland to climate change, adaptive management is needed badly.

Key words: climate change, adaption, fuzzy comprehension evaluation, AHP, wetland